Analyze this: analysts

by Jeremy Elijah,

Correspondent

written on 06/22/09

----Remember when Adam Morrison competed with J.J. Redick for the NCAA scoring title? Of course you do, but you probably don’t remember that they played against each other in the NBA Finals just a couple weeks ago. So what happened?


In their final collegiate seasons, Morrison averaged 28 points a game and J.J. averaged 27 points a game, respectively. 


In the 2006 NBA draft, Morrison went 3rd overall and Redick went 11th overall, both lottery picks.  Both overhyped by analysts.  

           

These analysts perpetually pray for new protégées to make up for their previous analytical failures.  Year after year, analysts predict and then convince the viewer that Michael Jordan Jr. will come along, but most of the time these projected prospects are major busts.  Does the NBA and their analysts really believe so many players have pro potential or is just for the revenue?


They basically read us a fairy tale.  Analysts are so sure of themselves, that even I am almost  convinced that four rookie superstars will actually emerge from this weak draft class.  Everyone has their own opinion and not all analysts agree in each case, but all of their opinions are brought to you by the same industry.  When meshed together it creates the illusion that each draft class is full of blossoming stars.  Felicitations NBA, you have managed to hypnotize the basketball world once again.


This year, everyone continuously hypes up a particular athlete in the draft. The only problem is that he is not an athlete or a basketball player; he’s a competitor, a great shooter and a very humble guy.  But he couldn’t back peddle and stick his hands in the air if his whole career depended on it.


NBA enthusiasts adore scorers.  6-foot-nothing Stephen Curry can’t do anything but shoot, yet analysts love making him the center of attention.  Face it, we have all seen him on ESPN one-too-many times. 


NBA TV correspondent Rick Kamla said, “This kid is going to be real good.”  Rick, I must disagree.


All basketball experts should agree that the league consists of much more than just putting the ball in the hoop; but if that’s so, how can one, especially a professional analyst, predict that someone like Stephen Curry can actually succeed in the NBA? 


Now Blake Griffin is going to be a real superstar, or so I’ve heard.  Chad Ford, of ESPN states, “Griffin looks like the closest thing to Superman the NBA has seen since Dwight Howard.”  Is he serious?  Or maybe the need for some hype is forcing him to say that.


remember: analysts loved him
Photo courtesy of yougotdunkedon.com

I’m almost  tempted to believe him.  But as I recall, I once believed former TNT analyst Hubie Brown: During the 1993 NBA draft, he completely overhyped Shawn Bradley by stating, “You’re talking about a guy who can change everything, the complexion of the paint.”   So maybe I’m easily convinced.


But wait a second, Blake Griffin averaged 23 points and 14 rebounds in the NCAA, he must be great; because a hyped-up rookie disappointment named Michael Beasley never did that before.  I forgot why, but for some reason I thought he was going be a real superstar.  Maybe someone convinced me.


As for the other two supposed superstars, here’s a prediction:

In the 2009 NBA Draft, the biggest busts go to Brandon Jennings and Ricky Rubio.


Both struggled to compete oversees, yet they are still projected as top ten picks.  Neither of their stats are even worth mentioning, although single digits are easier to type.  The NBA knows neither player will succeed, but hyping up those particular players draws the most attention.  Fans are completely intrigued by Rubio’s celebrity status in Spain and Jennings’ decision to play overseas rather than attending college, but I’m not falling for it. 


Rather that attempting to state the alleged obvious, I prefer to find the gems…


…Congratulations to Dwight Howard and LeBron James.  But this year I’m predicting prospects resembling the likes of Michael Redd, Gilbert Arenas, Carlos Boozer, Rashard Lewis and Manu Ginobili (all were 2nd round picks) to eventually steal the spotlight.